There's rather a lot for Republicans to love on this new Virginia governor's ballot

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However dig deeper into the ballot and you discover much more for Republicans to love.

Contemplate:

* 1 in 5 registered voters mentioned that schooling and colleges was crucial difficulty in deciding their vote. That made it the second most cited difficulty behind solely jobs and the financial system (27% most vital difficulty). Youngkin has spent the final weeks of the marketing campaign bashing McAuliffe for saying, in a debate, that he did not assume “parents should be telling schools what they should teach.”

* Simply 43% of voters approve of the job Joe Biden is doing as president whereas 53% disapprove. Virtually 6 in 10 self-identified independents (58%) mentioned they disapprove of how Biden is dealing with independents.

* Talking of independents, they’ve moved away from McAuliffe and to Youngkin during the last month. In a September Monmouth ballot, McAuliffe led amongst independents by a 46%-37% margin. Within the new ballot? Youngkin leads 48% to 39%.

* Virtually half (49%) of Republicans mentioned they have been extra enthusiastic to vote on this election than in previous races. Simply 26% of Democrats mentioned the identical.

An erosion of independents. An unpopular President. An enthusiasm hole. A dropping difficulty gaining prominence.

That may be a LOT of dangerous information for McAuliffe and Democrats extra broadly — suggesting that the race might be slipping away from them at precisely the flawed time.

The Level: Rightly or wrongly, what occurs in Virginia in two weeks’ time might be analyzed as an indication of what is to return for each events in 2022. And proper now it isn’t wanting good for Democrats.

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